Week 8 – QB List | Tech US News


Every week, I will use my OPPO meter (OPresponsibility P.Oints; information found here) go through who had the most valuable time of the week, who scored less than they expected, and who missed opportunities which they have given.

OPPO is the highest

Christian McCaffrey did everything for the 49ers this week, earning 34.9 fantasy points on 26.1 OPPO. I said last week in mine George Kittle Point out that they were slow to integrate McCaffrey into the offense, and now it looks like it YES they are guilty. McCaffrey paced the team in both carries (18) and field goals (9). His career averages mean 6.9 catches, 114.6 yards, and 1.3 touchdowns. This does not include it throw a touchdown pass. It took him a week to get up to speed, but it was all steam ahead for McCaffrey in San Francisco.

Our Week 6 wide receiver highlight is back! Tyreek Hill posted another monster week, with 31.5 fantasy points at 27.1 OPPO. He followed his example like this: open the field for many purposes (14) and a very big wind yards (222). The deep goal has advantages and disadvantages: the report is that they often go to a big increase (2nd-most expectations this season, with 155.2), while the good if they have a lower rate (8.8 need to catch on 14 goals) and not often make touchdowns (0.4 need touchdowns from goals).

Tyler Conklin was featured this week, with 25.9 fantasy points on 20.6 OPPO. He was the main focus of the Jets in the contest this week, receiving 10 targets expected to lead to 5.2 catches, 80.8 yards, and 1.2 touchdowns (2nd-most in the NFL week Well, after that… check books Terrace Marshall who has 1.9 need touchdowns?!). Conklin is independent of New York’s score as well, as the rest of the team combined for only 1.1 touchdowns (both rushing & receiving).

Now we’re around the season, I’m going to look at OPPO in the last 4 weeks for over- & under-performance, not throughout the season. Both schedules are also available in Google Sheets. This should keep the information more important, by focusing more on the player’s recent performances and time.

OPPO Underperformers

Even in a group, Melvin Gordon still get a fair share of opportunities. It’s a coin toss of who is the “back leader” of this offense in the last 4 weeks, with him getting 10.1 OPPO a game and Latavius ​​Murray earn 10.2. Gordon has room to improve to reach his double digit OPPO, but I think he can do it. With his experience on the team and his more valuable time in Week 8 (14.7 OPPO vs Murray’s 11.2), Gordon seems to have the energy and confidence of the coaching staff. He also needs a little time to develop himself before buying a new product Chase Edmonds go up fast.

Chris Godwin is the type of player that I like to have OPPO for. He consistently puts up WR2/FLEX points, so it’s easy to just expect to go ahead and lock him into that rating. If you look under the hood, however, you see that he’s getting more valuable time that often results in more catches, yards, and touchdowns. He is the WR8 overall from OPPO in the last 4 weeks, with 17.1 per game, which exceeds his points per game by 3.9. Mike Evans similar to underperforming, so there may be an underlying problem (QB play, strategy, etc.), but I’d look for Godwin (and Evans) to find another level if Tampa Bay still uses him as they have.

In a team decimated by injury, Gerald Everett did his best to step into the vacuum target. He averaged ~5 goals a week but didn’t capitalize on the opportunities he was given. I expect some nice changes in all categories (catches, yards, and touchdowns) if he can keep up this usage. With how many Chargers wide receivers are visiting the medical staff, I think Everett could be the starting tight end and get closer to his 10.5 OPPO per week.

OPPO Overperformers

Rookie heard Kenneth Walker just keep scoring touchdowns. He has had 5 touchdowns on the ground in his last 4 weeks. I think I can see a passing touchdown a game for him going forward, but his carries in the last 4 weeks have mostly resulted in passing 1 touchdown. all (1.3). That’s some of the best performance of the competition, which can be linked to his pass rush (403 actual yards vs 289.5 expected). Based on his 10.8 OPPO per game, he still starts as a low-end RB2/FLEX option, but I would be cautious about expecting anything close to 18.7 points per action play that he left.

The curiosity of Justin Jefferson, as I have seen both positive and negative regression for it. The good news: he somehow hasn’t caught in 4 weeks, despite seeing 29 targets that should have made 1 touchdown (and maybe more, given his ability). The bad news: he’s vastly underperforming in yardage (and slightly overperforming in catches). He is averaging ~90 yards per game, while I think he is likely to return closer to 60 yards per game. The result of this regression gives him (still elite) 16.8 OPPO per game, which will be a step back from his current 20 points per game to play

After celebrating it last week, it’s time to put the brakes on a little George Kittle. He’s a beast and deserves a good portion of San Francisco’s struggles, but there are plenty of talented mouths to feed there. In addition to the potential decline, Kittle has also overworked the time he has received. He was very good at grinding out yardage, averaging ~15 yards more than expected, while also catching more than expected of his targets. If he has spent the same amount going forward, I think he will be close to his 12.5 OPPO per game (and that will be on the better side, as his 9.2 OPPO in Week 8 with for all the 49ers’ weapons to work. and healthy).

Quick Hits

I want to have a place to call out the players who have no writing but still worth mentioning because OPPO is more important than 4 weeks ago.

RB: Rhamondre Stevenson (19.6 OPPO per game; RB4 overall!), James Conner (according to Eno Benjamin‘s use: 13.4; RB14), Raheem Mostert (12.0; RB18), Antonio Gibson (11.1; RB24).

WR: Diontae Johnson (18.0; WR6), DJ Moore (16.8; WR9), Davante Adams (12.8; WR29), Jakobi Meyers (11.4; WR44).

TE: Evan Engram (12.8; XIV!), Pat Freiermuth (9.5; TSO 14), Taisom Hill (5.3; TSO 33)

Disagree? Think anyone else has had more luck/unluck this season? Let me know @blandalytics!

(Photo by Nick Wosika/Icon Sportswire)


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